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Enter the closed-end fund, a relative of the traditional, open-end mutual fund. Gundlach highlighted closed-end funds on CNBC's " Closing Bell " Wednesday afternoon, noting that it's "a pretty good environment for moderate risk assets." "For retail investors, closed-end funds have gone back to trading at discounts broadly, and with some leverage involved there, there's double-digit yields available without taking a ton of credit risk," he said. Searching for discounts Drivers of these closed-end fund discounts, particularly those that hold bonds, include sharp spikes in yields. The Abrdn National Municipal Income Fund (VFL) , for instance, is trading at a 15% discount to its net asset value, according to Nuveen's CEF Connect, a database of closed-end funds.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Eaton Vance Organizations: Income Fund, Income Trust, Fidelity Locations: Eaton Vance California
The press making jabs at the current name of asset manager Abrdn , which was rebranded from 'Standard Life Aberdeen', amounts to "corporate bullying," the firm's chief investment officer Peter Branner said. The firm announced its renaming in April 2021 and has faced consistent ridicule, jokes and jibes in the media since then. In a Financial News interview out on Monday, Branner called the media jibes about the name "childish," calling out press for the frequency of its jokes. He added that people would not treat individuals in this way, but that the press seemed to practise different standards for companies. How would you look at a person who makes fun of your name day in day out?
Persons: Peter Branner, Branner Organizations: Abrdn, Aberdeen, Tuesday, CNBC
Some equity funds closely tied to those commodities, such as those that invest in gold and silver miners, have soared even more. Five of the six biggest gold ETFs have seen outflows this year, totaling almost $3 billion, according to FactSet. GLD 5Y mountain Gold, and the ETFs that track it, are trading at record highs in early 2024. The fund's holdings include gold, silver, platinum and palladium. Meanwhile, Teucrium has several ETFs focused on agricultural commodities that have climbed over the past month as well, including the the Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) , up over 3%.
Persons: Jake Hanley, Hanley, Robert Minter, Minter, Teucrium Organizations: United States Oil Fund, Hershey Locations: East, Europe
This Wednesday at London Business School, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick will ask two market experts where's best to invest right now. Fowler leads UBS' European equity strategy and global derivative strategy teams. Gooch-Peters is a member of Sanlam's global high-quality equity team and leads the global equity team's investment strategy. Fowler leads UBS' European equity strategy and global derivative strategy teams. Gooch-Peters is a member of Sanlam's global high-quality equity team and leads the global equity team's investment strategy.
Persons: Steve Sedgwick, Gerry Fowler, Hannah Gooch, Peters, Fowler, Gooch, Hannah Organizations: CNBC, London Business School, UBS, Chief European, Sanlam Investments, BNP Paribas, Citi, Sanlam Locations: Abrdn, London, . New York, Singapore
Alpha capture strategies take inputs from sources like human traders, market data, sell-side research, and more and then use a systematic process to create a portfolio that is efficiently sized and hedged. CenterBook uses trading data from dozens of external firms to create its portfolios, while Norias will create its book off the ideas of its fundamental analysts. Meanwhile, Man Group is building out an alpha capture team within its AHL unit's special strategies team, a recent job posting states, and Squarepoint is doubling its team, finding external managers for its buy-side alpha capture program. "It is a way for them to increase their capacity and take in more assets," said Kevin Lyons, senior investment manager at Abrdn, about the largest platforms growing their internal alpha capture capabilities. AdvertisementThe alpha capture OGIt can all be tied back to the success of the original mainstream alpha capture strategy: Marshall Wace's TOPS, which stands for Trade Optimized Portfolio System.
Persons: , Marshall Wace, Doug Haynes, Norias, Basil Qunibi, Squarepoint quant Warren Touwen, Merrill Lynch, Squarepoint, Touwen, Kevin Lyons, Marshall, Anthony Clarke, Cameron Hight, Hight, it's, headhunter Organizations: Service, Business, CenterBook Partners, Research, Investors, AHL, TOPS Locations: Austin, Abrdn, London
Take advantage of volatility created by geopolitics: Abrdn
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTake advantage of volatility created by geopolitics: AbrdnIrene Goh of Abrdn discusses her approach to investing in Asian markets including China, Japan and India amid expectations of a heightened geopolitical environment this year.
Persons: Abrdn Irene Goh, Abrdn Locations: China, Japan, India
The rise in multi-manager hedge funds over the past five years has forced allocators to create a separate due diligence model for the fastest-growing segment in the industry. Even an executive at a midsized multi-manager admits their firm and its peers are "more like corporations than hedge funds." AdvertisementA new type of hedge-fund kingsFounders were once simply the best traders and money-makers, spinning out of banks' trading desks and larger hedge funds. Bobby Jain, the former Millennium executive starting his own multi-billion hedge fund, hasn't traded in decades but was a part of the leadership team at one of the biggest hedge funds in the world. Jobs at multi-manager platforms are roughly a quarter of the industry's overall roles, despite these funds holding roughly 14% of the assets.
Persons: , allocators, Griffin's, Izzy Englander's, Jack Springate, Allen Cheng, Cheng, Bobby Jain, hasn't, Michael Gelband, Dmitry Balyasny, Steve Cohen, Izzy Englander, Ajay, Kevin Lyons, Lyons, Springate Organizations: Service, Business, Fortune, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Aon, Millennium, Treasury Locations: Schonfeld's
Yet two months into 2024, Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues seems to have nearly pulled off what many would have called a miracle not long ago. Between a rock and a hard placeThe January Fed meeting minutes reinforced policymakers' careful approach for the months ahead. AdvertisementTo be sure, as far as policy expectations, markets have only recently arrived on the same page as the Fed. "The Fed doesn't want to be seen as having allowed inflation to reignite," he added. "The Fed doesn't want to undo all the good work they've done, and needlessly push the economy into a recession."
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, James McCann, Abrdn, Gene Goldman, CME's, Gregory Draco, Draco, Larry Summers, Summers, Cetera's Goldman, Goldman, Abrdn's McCann, McCann Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Co, Fed, Cetera Investment Management, Bloomberg
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUK and European small caps offer particular value right now, analyst saysThomas Watts, investment analyst at abrdn Portfolio Solutions, discusses the opportunities in "small, nimble companies."
Persons: Thomas Watts Organizations: abrdn
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
Dollar poised for weekly decline; US jobs data up next
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index was last at 103.02 and on track for its first weekly decline for the year. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.07% to $0.6149 and was on track for a weekly rise of nearly 1%, its best performance in over a month. It was poised for a weekly gain of nearly 1.3%, its best week in over a month. That highlighted a growing view within the board that conditions were falling in place to soon pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory, which would be Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. Data on Thursday showed euro zone inflation eased as expected last month but underlying price pressures fell less than forecast, likely boosting the European Central Bank's argument that rate cuts should not be rushed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, Raf Choudhury, BoE, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Friday's, Analysts, Bank of Japan's, Bank of England, Monetary, European Locations: Abrdn, U.S
Consumer sentiment is surging. A tough housing market and exorbitant child care costs continue to bedevil budgets, but the inflation pendulum is finally swinging in the other direction. A slowly improving US housing marketAmerica’s housing market is still tough, but there are some subtle signs of improvement. Builder confidence surged in January, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, climbing seven points to a reading of 44. It’s unclear when the Fed will begin to cut rates, and how many cuts there will ultimately be this year, but rate cuts in general mean even lower mortgage rates, further improving affordability.
Persons: vibing, aren’t, it’s, Anna Rathbun, , isn’t, bode, Joe Biden’s, ” James McCann, Biden, Alicia Huey Organizations: Washington CNN, Big Tech, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, CNN, Fed, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, of Michigan’s, AAA, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Wells Fargo
Indeed, investors get paid for taking a small step down in credit quality in the muni bond space. What's even sweeter is that municipal bond income is generally exempt from federal income tax. This also means high income investors would have to scoop up a higher yielding corporate bond to get the same tax-advantaged yield a muni bond would generate. A measured amount of risk Munis offer lower yields compared to their corporate counterparts, but they also carry significantly less risk. Lower risk, however, doesn't necessarily mean risk free.
Persons: Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton, Lyle Fitterer, munis, corporates, Cooper Howard, Jonathan Mondillo, Franklin Templeton's Johnston Organizations: Federal Reserve, Franklin, AAA, muni, Strategic Municipal Bond Fund, York Life Investments, Moody's Investors Service, Charitable, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: muni, Abrdn
India stocks have run up so high that China looks relatively attractive, said Abrdn's Xin-Yao Ng, Singapore-based investment manager of Asian equities. Until the Chinese economy rebounds, his strategy is to pick stocks. Chinese stocks have dropped over the last several months, with the Shanghai Composite trading near lows not seen since the early months of the pandemic in 2020. All this follows a year in which mounting concerns about China's economy and lack of stimulus have kept investors on the sidelines. But for China's economy overall, a slew of concerns from geopolitics to an aging population remain.
Persons: Abrdn's Xin, Yao Ng, Abrdn's Ng, Ng, Li Qiang, he's, Abrdn, We've Organizations: Shanghai, Equity Fund, Eye, Nike Locations: India, China, Singapore, Davos, Mindray
Loan growth at Asian banks is estimated to rise from 4.5% this year to 10% next year, LSEG data shows, with banks in India and Indonesia leading with 15% and 11% growth, respectively. Ng likes banks in India and Indonesia, given the better economic growth in those economies and ability of banks to sustain margins. LSEG data shows profits at banks in India and Indonesia will grow 13% and 11% respectively next year, nearly double the 6% average rise across Asia-Pacific banks. That compares to price-to-book ratio for MSCI's index for all-country Asian banks (.dMIAS0CB00PUS) of 0.9. Banks in Australia are estimated to see a drop of 5% in profit in 2024 while profits at Singapore banks will be flat.
Persons: Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Morgan, Yao Ng, abrdn, Ng, Vinay Agarwal, Agarwal, Morgan Stanley, Ankur Banerjee, Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: U.S . Federal, Fed, HSBC, ICICI, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Axis Bank, FSSA Investment Management, Indonesia's Bank Central Asia, BCA, Reuters, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Asia, Japan, J.P, Pacific, Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea, Banks, Australia, China, Bengaluru
"These measures could boost (earnings) growth and help asset prices recover in 2024," Liu said. As per the forecasts, the consumer staples and software sectors are set to post earnings growth of 40% and 30%, respectively. The consumer discretionary and industrial sectors are each expected to see roughly 20% growth, while the real estate sector may grow 18%. Such stable or growth-centric government policies would also boost investor confidence in the e-commerce and consumer sectors, Lau added. Maurer, however, points to how cheap Chinese stocks are and that the risks might already be priced in.
Persons: Minyue Liu, Liu, John Lau, Lau, Alec Jin, Jin, Caroline Yu Maurer, Maurer, Patturaja Murugaboopathy, Vidya Ranganathan Organizations: BNP, Management, Asia Pacific, SEI, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Stock Connect, HSBC Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Asia, China, Shanghai, U.S
Customers and investors are increasingly considering mining companies’ ESG performance. Photo: douglas magno/Agence France-Presse/Getty ImagesMining giant Anglo American is one of the companies that have been involved in developing the new mining standard. Anglo American itself commits to at least nine different mining standards and is part of 17 industry associations, which all have their own requirements. The LME has been consulted on the development of the new mining standard. For now, work continues on the new mining standard, with the four associations still discussing what it should look like and how it would be governed.
Persons: Cynthia Matonhodze, , , Tracey Kerr, douglas magno, Rebecca Campbell, ” Campbell, Campbell, Paul Hackett, Georgina Hallett, Yusuf Khan Organizations: Bloomberg, International Council, Mining, Metals, Gold Council, Mining Association of Canada, Miners, Business, Global Investor Commission, ING, Jubilee Metals Group, Hochschild, ” Mining, Agence France, Getty, White, London Metal Exchange, REUTERS Locations: Umguza, Zimbabwe, Dutch, Brazil, London, Brumadinho, American,
Milei's dollar plans, however, put pressure on the embattled peso currency, which is held in check by strict capital controls. The official exchange rate is near 350 per dollar, but dollars trade well over twice that in popular parallel markets. Milei said in the run-up to the election he wanted to ditch the peso altogether in favour of the dollar. Milei had also heavily criticised China and Brazil in the runup to the elections, two of Argentina's main trading partners. China said on Tuesday it would be a "serious mistake" if Milei opted to cut ties between the two countries.
Persons: dollarization, Javier Milei, Miel, Milei, Morgan Stanley's, Viktor Szabo, Banks, Banks Grupo Supervielle, Marc Jones, Elizabeth Howcroft, Mayur Kamdar, Karin Strohecker, Bernadette Baum, Emelia Organizations: Argentina, Abrdn, U.S ., Banks Grupo, Banco, Banco BBVA Argentina, Grupo Financiero, Thomson Locations: BUENOS AIRES, MERV, London, Argentina, U.S, Grupo Financiero Galicia, China, Brazil
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe think Europe is heading for a recession 'imminently,' Abrdn analyst saysThomas Watts of Abrdn explains why the firm is "slightly more bearish" than the consensus.
Persons: Thomas Watts, Abrdn Locations: Europe
Parents thinking of saving for their children's college education in around a decade could be in for some sticker shock. Breaking down the costs U.S. college tuition inflation averaged 12% annually from 2010 to 2022, according to T. Rowe Price, citing research by Education Data Initiative . Even assuming a more modest 5% annual inflation rate, the estimated total college cost could be as high as $383,823, she said. That college tuition bill 10 years from now — taking the $165,000 as a baseline and assuming a 3% normalized inflation rate and tuition inflation of 6% — could hit $295,000, according to Ebright. "It is important to maintain some exposure to growth assets as tuition inflation has traditionally been higher than the broader economy," Shen said.
Persons: Laura Suter, AJ Bell, Rowe Price, Wenting Shen, Shen, Alan Ebright, they're, AJ Bell's Suter, Rowe Price's Shen, Berkshire Hathaway, Suter Organizations: CNBC, AJ, Education Data Initiative, College Board, Check Capital Management, University of California, Securities, Berkshire, Fidelity Emerging Markets, Companies, Fidelity Locations: U.S, Asia, Britain, United States, Berkshire
Donald Tusk, leader of the largest opposition grouping Civic Coalition (KO), delivers a speech after the exit poll results are announced in Warsaw, Poland, October 15, 2023. As Europe’s sixth-largest economy, a revitalised pro-EU attitude in Poland would be particularly welcome. The 66-year old Tusk and his pro-EU coalition allies may still have to wait weeks or even months though before getting a turn at forming a government. Duda has referred the issue at the heart of that row to a constitutional tribunal in Poland. The central bank though has slashed interest rates at its last two meetings as the election campaign burst into life.
Persons: Donald Tusk, Kacper, Poland's, Daniel Moreno, Mirabaud, PiS, Moreno, Hungary's Viktor Orban, Robert Fico, Tusk, Andrzej Duda, Duda, Viktor Szabo, Fitch, Szabo, Adam Glapinski, PiS ., Simon Quijano, Evans, Libby George, Karin Strohecker, Josie Kao Organizations: Civic Coalition, REUTERS, European Union, Law and Justice, European, EU, Brussels, PiS, Gemcorp, Ukraine, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Warsaw, Poland, Brussels, Europe, EU, Slovakia, Britain, London
[1/2] Shadow of the supporter is pictured during the election convention of Law and Justice (PiS) party, before Sunday's parliamentary elections, in Przysucha, Poland October 9, 2023. "It is the most important election we have this year in Europe," said Viktor Szabo, portfolio manager at asset manager abrdn, adding markets had not priced in scenarios such as a hung parliament or the possibility of an early election. Such a scenario would be a key positive for both the currency and Polish equities, said Anna Zadornova, an economist at UBS. "Ultimately there is a point where you need to yield to the economics and how things are going," said Kaan Nazli, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman. ($1 = 0.9461 euros)Reporting by Karin Strohecker and Marc Jones, editing by Alexander SmithOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Kacper, Viktor Szabo, Szabo, PiS, Daniel Wood, William Blair, Anna Zadornova, Banks, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Adam Glapinski, Kaan Nazli, Neuberger Berman, Karin Strohecker, Marc Jones, Alexander Smith Organizations: Law, Justice, REUTERS, LONDON, abrdn, European Union, JPMorgan, Reuters Graphics EU, EU, liberal Civic Coalition, UBS, Poland's, Copley Fund, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Przysucha, Poland, Europe, loggerheads, Brussels, Romania, Hungary
Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.
Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC
Claims in U.S. dollars rose 0.8% to $6.576 trillion in the second quarter, but were down 1% from a year earlier. The euro's share edged up slightly to 19.9% in the second quarter, from 19.8% the previous three months. The dollar index was up 3.1% in the second quarter, recovering from a 0.9% fall in the first quarter. The IMF data also showed the Chinese renminbi's share of currency reserves slipped to 2.4% in the second quarter from about 2.6% in the first. IMF data also showed total global reserves rose to $12.055 trillion in the second quarter from $12.028 trillion in the first quarter.
Persons: Michael Langham, Langham, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, David Gregorio, Chris Reese Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Canadian, Global, IMF, Thomson Locations: U.S
As interest rates potentially peak, investment advisors say there are now opportunities for hefty gains through certain government bonds. This was during the Covid-19 pandemic when the Bank of England had just cut rates to 0.1%. "You potentially could make a good capital appreciation when interest rates start to fall," Amis added. Amis expects the Bank of England to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in August 2024. Meanwhile, interest rate traders in the U.S. expect the Federal Reserve to implement its first rate cut in July 2024.
Persons: Matthew Amis, Amis, Abrdn, Iain Stealey, Stealey Organizations: Bank of England, U.S, Treasury, Bank of, JPMorgan Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.K, U.S
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